Doug B. answered 10/10/15
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Math in Plain Language
The proportion of wardens who think tattoos are a sign of trouble is the number of wardens who think tattoos are a sign of trouble divided by the sample size, 98/212 = 0.4623.
Hº: The proportion of wardens who feel that tattoos are a sign of trouble is ≥ 0.5
Hª: The proportion of wardens who feel that tattoos are a sign of trouble is < 0.5
z = (p - P)/sqrt(P(1-P)/n)
where p is the sample proportion and P is the proportion in the claim.
z = (.4623-.5)/sqrt(.5(1-.5)/212) = -.0377/.0343 = -1.1
P(Z<-1.1) = 0.13567
Since 0.13 > 0.01 (α), the sample data fails to reject the null hypothesis.
Alternatively we can calculate a critical z for α=0.01.
This is a one tailed test so we find z for p-value .01 which is -2.326.
Since the sample z score (-1.1) is not in the region of rejection (<-2.326), the sample data fails to reject the null hypothesis.