Autumn B.

asked • 06/13/15

Probability

Suppose your company has a strict policy of no inter-office dating. The 5000 employees of your company are given a polygraph during which they are asked whether they are dating someone with in the office. All of them deny dating a colleague but in actuality 1% of the employees are delinquent. Use the table below to answer the following questions. This table assumes that a polygraph is 90% accurate.
 
                                               Employee Is Lying   Employee Is Truthful      Total
Polygraph Finds Employee Lying               45                       495                    540
Polygraph Finds Employee Truthful            5                        4455                  4460
Total                                                      50                      4950                   5000

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