Raymond B. answered 02/26/23
Math, microeconomics or criminal justice
P(w)=.65
P(wvL)=.85
P(L)=.85-.65=.2=20% chance of Losing
P(draw or tied game)=.15
20% of 40= 8 games = expected losses
= point estimate
a confidence interval would likely include 9 games as a possible number of losses
especially a 90 or 95% confidence interval
coach's estimates are most likely based on past experience, prior track record of the team and the opposing teams' record