David B. answered 03/09/15
Tutor
5
(23)
Need a Math Tutor That Will Deliver Results? I'm Right Here!
If we dont care about the cost of the ticket, then all we do is multiply each possible winning by its respective probability and add them up:
X P(X) X*P(X)
50000 0.000001 0.05000
5000 0.000004 0.02000
100 0.0002 0.02000
20 0.002 0 .04000
0 0.997795 0.00000
SUM 0.13000
50000 0.000001 0.05000
5000 0.000004 0.02000
100 0.0002 0.02000
20 0.002 0 .04000
0 0.997795 0.00000
SUM 0.13000
So the sum of all the X*P(X) is 0.13 so your expected earnings would be 0.13 (13 cents). Now realistically if you were to buy the lottery ticket for $1 say, then the expected earnings would be negative, meaning you would lose money and the lottery gains money. The problem is most people don't want to think of all the money they spend on playing the lottery and just remember the payouts.