Raymond B. answered 03/15/24
Math, microeconomics or criminal justice
82% chance of a red light,
8 lights
chance of getting the 1st light red = .82
chance of getting the 2nd light red & 1st green or yellow = .82(.18) = .1476
chance of getting the 2nd light red and 1st light red = .82(.82) = .6714
chance of getting the 2nd light red, regardless of the 1st light = ..1476 + .6714 = .82
chance of getting the 1st, 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th, 7th, or 8th light red regardless of the other lights = .82
chance the 1st red light occurs on the 1st light = .82
chance 1st red occurs on 2nd light = .1476
chance 1st red on 3rd light = .82(.18^2) =.026568
chance 1st red on 4th = .82(.18^3) = .00478224
chance 1st red on 5th = .82(.18^4) = 8.608032 x 10^-4
chance 1st red on 6th = .82(.18^5) = 1.54944576 x 10^4
chance 1st red on 7th = .82(.18^6) = 2.78900237 x 10^-5
chance 1st red on 8th = .82(.18^7) = 5.02020426 x 10^-6
a) chance of red on nth light = .82(.18^(n-1))
b) chance of red on or before nth light = .82(.18^(n-1)) + .82(.18^(n-2)) + ... + .82
= .82(.18^(n-1) + .18^(n-2) + ... + 1)