P = P0*bt
- P = Population in year t
- P0 = initial population in 1993 = 116 million
- b = growth or decay factor
- t = years since 1993
P = 116*bt
In 2002, P = 21 million and t = 2002-1993=9 years:
21 = 116*b9
21/116 = b9
(21/116)1/9 = b
0.83 ≈ b (I rounded to 2 decimal places)
P = 116*(0.83)t
To estimate the population in 2007, set t = 2007-1993 = 14 and solve for P (use your calculator).