μ = 2.2 hours
σ = 0.25 hours
We need to use the z-score formula to find the probability: z = (X - μ) / σ
a.) z = (1.5 - 2.2) / 0.25 = -2.8 ⇒ P(z < -2.8) = 0.0026
The probability that a randomly selected group of students will reach a consensus on a similar policy in less than 1.5 hours is about 0.0026.
b.) Since the probability of reaching a consensus in 1.5 hours is very low (0.0026), it is reasonable to suspect that the group had discussed the policy beforehand.