Andra M. answered 11/27/22
Ivy League Tutor and mentor (Columbia BA, NYU PhD)
a)
The prep course claims that its graduates have means larger than the SAT mean of 541.
State the null hypothesis H0
and the alternative hypothesis H1
H0: µ = 541
H1: μ > 541
b) Since we know the standard deviation of the sample the researcher used to test this hypothesis (σ= 39), we can use the z-statistic. If we would not have known σ, we would have had to use the t-statistic.
c) z = (Xmean - µ) / (σ/ √n)
We will compute the z statistic and then subsequently find the probability of the sample mean being larger than µ = 541 under the null hypothesis.
z = (545- 541)/( 39/ 10) = 1.025
Because of the Central Limit Theorem which states that the distribution of the sample means will be approximately normally distributed:
P(Xmean > 541) = p( z > 1.025) ≈ 1- p(z <1.03) = 1-0.84849 = 0.1515
Thus, even under the null hypothesis in which mean scores post test prep is µ= 541, the probability of observing a sample Xmean = 545 is approx. 15%.
(d) For such an upper-tailed z-test, in order to be able to reject the null hypothesis at the α= 0.05 level of significance, we would need to have z = 1.645, which is the critical value for the z test. We can only reject H0 if z>= 1.645.
(e) We already have the answer for this under (c): We cannot support the preparation course's claim that the population mean SAT score of its graduates is greater than 541 at the level of significance α= 0.05. Even under the null hypothesis H0, the probability of observing a sample mean of 545 is approx. 15%.