Raymond B. answered 04/26/22
Math, microeconomics or criminal justice
Pr(exactly 8 believers)
30 randomly chosen. 1 out of 3 are believers
best estimate, most likely outcome is 30/3 = 10
using a binomial distribution
Pr(8) = 30C8(1/3)^22(2/3)^8 = (30!/8!22!)(2^8/3^30)
mean = np = 30(1/3) = 10
var = npq = np(1-p) =10(2/3) = 20
sd =sqr20 = 2sqr5 = 4.47
approximate the normal with the binomial distribution
(8-10)/2sqr5 =-2/2sqr5 = -1/sqr5 = -sqr5/5 = -.4472 = z score
use z tables or a z calculator
.6726 = 67.26% probability of at least 8 out of 30
Pr(>8) =