proportion unemployed (p) = 6.9% = 0.069
mean = sample size (n) * p = 270 * 0.069 = 18.63
standard deviation = sqrt (n * p * (1-p)) = sqrt(270*0.069*0.931) = 4.19
x = number of adults
z-stat = (x - mean)/standard deviation) = (15-18.63)/4.19 = -0.866
P(x > 15) = P(z > -0.866) = 1 - P(z < -0.866) = 1 - 0.1929 = 0.08071
Tom K.
Jon has a typo in his final answer (the 0 after the decimal point). Bigger questions: do we use a continuity correction (replace 15 with 15.5 here)? Why don't we just use the exact binomial calculation? The continuity correction in this case gets us closer to the exact calculation.01/03/21