
Roger D. answered 11/22/20
Math Tutor Specialized in Statistics, Algebra, and Trigonometry
Step 1: State the Given Information
N=226, x =127, p= x/n =127/226 =562 q=1-.562=.438
p = .486 1 - alpha = .90 and alpha = .10
Step2: Verify Sampling Distribution of p^ can be normal
np^ >= 5 226(.562) >= 5 127 >=5 check
nq^ >=5 226(.438) >=5 99 >=5 check
Step 3: Find the critical values for z.
z_c = invnorm(.10/2)= -1.645 and z_c=invnorm(1-.10/2) =1.645.
Step 4: Find the margin of error E
E=z_c*sqr(p^*q^/n) = (1.64)sqr((.562*.438)/226)=.054
Step 5: Find the Lower and Upper Limit for CI.
p^ - E < p < p^ + E
.562 -.054 < p < p^ + +.054
.508 < p < .616
Step 6: State the CI.
90% CI
50.8% < p < 61.6%
The Margin of Error is 10%
There is evidence that his proportion has changed since 2016 based on this sample since the original p is less than the estimated p value range.