
William W. answered 11/18/20
Math and science made easy - learn from a retired engineer
The probability of getting a hit is 0.262 so the probability of not getting a hit is 0.738
The set of possible outcomes includes:
Hit, Hit, Hit, Hit, Hit, Hit
Hit, Hit, Hit, Hit, Hit, No Hit
. . . . . .
all the way down to
No Hit, No Hit, No Hit, No Hit, No Hit, No Hit,
One of these has 6 hits, some have 5 hits, some 4, and some 3. All of which count in our problem.
P(6 hits) = (0.262)6
P(5 hits) = (0.262)5(0.738)
P(4 hits) = (0.262)4(0.738)2
P(3 hits) = (0.262)3(0.738)3
To determine the number of possible outcomes that yield 6 hits, we use 6C6 on the TI-83 (the number of combinations of 6 items taken 6 at a time). To find out the number of possible outcomes that yield 5 hits, we use 6C5. And for 4 hits, 6C4, and lastly 6C3 for 3 hits.
So the total probability of getting 3 or more hits in a game we can do:
(6C6)(0.262)6 + (6C5)(0.262)5(0.738) + (6C4)(0.262)4(0.738)2 + (6C3)(0.262)3(0.738)3
This calculation is probably really tricky on a TI-83 but I think it's possible in a one-line calculation. It just might not be worth it. The combinations are cumbersome requiring you to enter "6" then hit the math button and scroll to PROB then down to select nCr then hit the "6" all to do 6C6 and I'm sure you'd be best to put parenthesis around that.
I did it in a one line calculation in my TI-84 but it's quite a bit easier'
My answer was 0.18886 or 18.9% probability