
Alex K. answered 10/26/19
Expert in high-level math, statistics, finance, economics
a. Disjoint refers to events that never occur at same time, so disjoint is not applicable in the case of drawing one piece of candy.
Independent refers to unrelated events. Independent is the correct answer because the probability of drawing a yellow or drawing a blue are entirely unrelated to each other, given we’re talking about one draw.
b. Disjoint refers to events that never occur at the same time. It is possible to draw 2 green pieces [one right after the other] from the infinite supply, and therefore this example is joint [and therefore not disjoint].
Independent refers to unrelated events. Independent is the correct answer because the probability of the 2nd piece being green is entirely unrelated to the color of the 1st piece drawn.
Please note, when an object is sampled with replacement, the outcome of the next event is entirely unrelated to the outcome of the prior event; however, when an object is sampled without replacement, the outcome of the next event is related to the outcome of the prior event. Given that an infinite supply is effectively the same as sampling with replacement, we conclude the 2nd piece drawn being green is entirely unrelated to the outcome of the 1st piece drawn being green.
c. Disjoint events and independent events are easily confused concepts. Short answer is no, a disjoint event can never be considered independent; in fact, quite the opposite. Think about it like this – since disjoint events can never occur at the same time, if event 1 occurs and event 2 is disjoint with event 1, then event 2 is very much dependent on event 1. In fact, given that event 1 occurred, we now know event 2 will not occur, specifically because event 2 is disjoint with event 1. In summary, easy to confuse disjoint with independent, but the entire premise behind disjoint events is that they are in fact dependent, precisely because they cannot occur at the same time.
As another example to illustrate the point of disjoint being dependent. Imagine it is nighttime in this precise location at this precise moment. Can it also be daytime in this precise location at this precise moment? Of course not, so these are disjoint events. In fact, it not being daytime in this precise location at this precise moment is very much dependent on the fact that it is nighttime at this precise location at this precise moment.