Ash O.

asked • 04/29/15

URGENT! NEED STATS HELP...

Fingerprint expertise
Refer to the Psychological Science (August 2011) study of fingerprint identification. The study found that when presented with prints from the same individual, a fingerprint expert will correctly identify the match 92% of the time. In contrast, a novice will correctly identify the match 75% of the time. Consider a sample of five different parts of fingerprints, where each pair is a match.
Questions
1. What is the probability that an expert will correctly identify the match in all five pairs of fingerprints?
2. What is the probability that a novice will correctly identify the match in all five pairs of fingerprints?
 
I am not sure how to go about doing this....

1 Expert Answer

By:

Crystal P.

I am working on a similar problem, and this may be a silly question, but if there are 5 pairs shouldn't .92 be to the 10th power? 
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05/02/15

Jon P.

tutor
It's not a silly question.  Probability questions can be very tricky. 
 
Yes, there are 10 sets of fingerprints, but the way the problem is described, they are arranged in PAIRS, and there are 5 pairs.  Each event is specific to a pair, not with an individual print. 
 
There is a probability given that the person will correctly match the two fingerprints in a pair.  Since there are 5 pairs, there are 5 different attempts, each with a specific probability -- that means that you use the 5th power, not the 10th.
 
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05/03/15

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