
Katherine P. answered 09/19/13
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Scientific notation makes it easier for us to estimate quantities because we don't get lost in all those zeros.
Step 1:
15,000 becomes 1.5 x 1,000
which is the same as 1.5 x 10^4
1.5 x 10^4 blinks per day
Step 2:
Kelly thinks that translates to 300,000,000 blinks per lifetime.
3 x 100,000,000, count those zeros to get the scientific notation:
3 x 10^8 blink per lifetime
Step 3:
Now compare the information from Step 1 to the information from Step 2:
1.5 x 10^4 blinks/day x _____ days/lifetime = 3 x 10^8 blink/lifetime
We need days/lifetime to figure this out.
According to the CDC, the average life expectancy from 2011 was about 79 years (source: http://www.cdc.gov/nchs/data/nvsr/nvsr61/nvsr61_06.pdf)
79 years/lifetime x 365 days/year = 28,835 days/lifetime
Let's round this and use scientific notation:
3 x 10^4
Step 4:
1.5 x 10^4 blinks/day x 3 x 10^4 days/lifetime = 4.5 x 10^8 blink/lifetime
So compared to Kelly's 3 x 10^8 blinks/lifetime falls a bit short, but it is one the same order of magnitude as the answer we calculated (4.5 x 10^8 blink/lifetime, note the 10^8 in both answers).
Answer:
So we say Kelly's answer was reasonable, because the two answers are on the same order of magnitude as our answer using the CDC 2011 data.
Hope this helps!