Jake T.

asked • 11/12/18

Statistics for coin flipping

My wife and I are having a statistics debate. We want to flip a coin to decide which of two activities we'll take, but first we want to flip a coin to determine which side counts for which option. We say, "Whatever this lands on will count for Option A." It lands on heads, so Option A is heads and Option B is tails. With that in mind, does our next flip (to actually decide which option to take) have a 25% statistical chance to land on heads since the last one (to set the options) was also heads, or is it a clean slate with a 50% statistical chance of either heads or tails?

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