William R.

asked • 03/28/18

Odds of achieving both a hole-in-one and a double eagle in the lifetime of a golfer.

My 30 year old son has had both a hole-in-one (odds 1 in 10,000) and a double eagle (odds 1 in 6,000,000).  What are the odds of him achieving both?

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Mark M. answered • 03/28/18

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P(A ∧ B) = P(A)*P(B)
(1/10000)(1/6000000) = ?
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Kurt T.

I'm sure the expected answer is the product of the two probabilities, but that assumes the two events (hole-in-one and eagle) are independent.  That's probably not a realistic assumption in this case.  If the son is a good enough golfer to make either an eagle or a hole-in-one, his chance of getting the other is probably a lot better than the stated probability.
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03/28/18

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