
Nikolay M. answered 08/30/21
PhD in STEM with 25+ Years of Coding Experience
Just need to pick 12 good pencils in a row.
Technically it is the draw w/o replacement, but for millions of pencils it does not matter
0.1% fault
100%-0.1%=99.9% good
0.999^12 = 0.988 or 98.8% to get 12 good pencils in a row