Jon S. answered 03/10/21
Patient and Knowledgeable Math and English Tutor
binomial formula for determining number of successes x in n trials, with probability of success = p:
n!
---- p^x (1-p)^(n-x)
x!(n-x)!
probability of making at most 3 out of 5 bullseyes = 1 - probability of making 4 or 5 bullseyes out of 5.
x = number of bullseyes is a binomial variable, so can use binomial formula to determine the probability x = 4 or 5 in n = 5 shots with p = 0.25 of hitting bullseye:
4 1
5! (0.6) (0.4)
----
4!1!
5 0
5! (0.6) (0.4)
----
5!0!
Add above two computed probabilities then subtract from 1.