Prob of <3 is 1/3. Call this x
Prob of 3 or more 2/3 Call this y
Interested iwhen <3 occurs 3,4 or five times in five rolls
Binomial expansion of (x+y)^5 is
x^5 + 5x^4y +10x^3y^2 +10x^2y^3 +5xy^4 +y^5
We are interested in the first 3 terms
(1/3)^5 +5(1/3)^4(2/3) +10 (1/3)^3(2/3)^2= 1/243 +5(1/81)(2/3) + 10(1/3)^3(2/3)^2=
1/243 + 10/243 + 40/243 = 51/243 = .21