Jack Z.

asked • 01/16/14

Probability of a deck of cards.

Three cards are randomly selected from a standard deck of 52 cards. What is the probability that the first card is red, the second card is black, and the third card is a heart. You DO NOT REPLACE any drawn cards.

3 Answers By Expert Tutors

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Tom D. answered • 01/16/14

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Very patient Math Expert who likes to teach

Vivian L. answered • 01/16/14

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Microsoft Word/Excel/Outlook, essay composition, math; I LOVE TO TEACH

Jack Z.

So there are two answers? Is there a way to have only one answer?
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01/16/14

Tom D.

You can take ~6.37% to the bank.  Andre W and I have slightly different ways of computing it, but the results are identical (to infinite number of places since 13/52=12.5/50.  Both methods are correct.
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01/16/14

Vivian L.

Hi Jack;
I do not know what Tom is taking to the bank.  I suspect it is not legal tender.  While it is true that 13/52 does equal 12.5/50.  This is a non-issue herein.  The fact is that the first card drawn was red whereas there are two possibilities as to what red is:hearts and diamonds.  The last card drawn was a red heart.  There are two results.  I cannot resolve that.
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01/16/14

Tom D.

Hi Vivian,  
 
Sorry, I didn't mean to offend.  There are often many ways to solve a probability problem.  Some paths seem quite different, but the result is the same.  Andrew & I chose two different paths:
 
1)He chose to compute separate paths for diamond/heart on 1st card
2)I chose to compute arbitrary red on 1st card.  This forces an average of probabilities on the 3rd card.  Nevertheless, the math is the same.  
 
Your answer is fine, but doesn't concatenate to a final probability.  If you had done so, you would also have gotten the same result.  I was merely addressing Jacks 'dilemma' of two answers at the time he commented.
 
Cheers!
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01/16/14

Andre W.

tutor
Note that Tom's method requires a weighted average. In this case, the weighting wasn't apparent, because "red" and "not red" on the first selection carry the same weight (0.5). If, for example, the problem is modified to "the first card is an ace", the weighting would be 1/4 (ace of hearts) and 3/4 (ace of non-hearts), so that P=(1/13)(26/51)(1*12/50 + 3*13/50). My tree path method would again give the same answer written differently: P=(1/52)(26/51)(12/50)+(3/52)(26/51)(13/50).
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01/16/14

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