Fantasy football

Question

My friend said I was "lucky" at fantasy football because I have the lowest points against (I also have the second highest points for). My argument is the most points against does not determine how many games I would have lost or would have won.

Please tell me if this math is sound:

First I looked at my career record of wins/loses: Wins: 121 Loses: 69 So we win percentage of .636.

Second I looked at my "All play record", meaning if I played everyone in the league each week, what would my win lose record be. I came up with Wins: 1425 Loses 890 for a win percentage of .615.

So he was accurate that I was "lucky", but really only in 3.99 games. So, my actual record should be Wins: 117 Loses: 73.

Answer 1

It depends if he was talking about a particular season or in general. Your math is solid proof that you, objectively, win more than you lose in fantasy football against every other team in the league. However, this takes many seasons into consideration.

If your friend was just saying you got lucky this season, then yeah it definitely could be all luck. The larger the sample size, the stronger your case.