
David W. answered 03/19/18
Tutor
4.7
(90)
Experienced Prof
75% of her free-throws. If continued at this free-throw rate, what is the probability that she will make the next two free-throws in the next game?
"makes 75%" means 3 out of 4 are successful, so the probability of making each of the next two shots is 75%. The probability of making both of the next two is 0.75*0.75.
Ah, but that is where this made-up questions falls flat!! In reality, there are only four possible cases for the next two foul shots: make-make, made-miss, miss-make, and miss-miss. Each of these four cases will change, and invalidate, the premise of the problem: "If continued at this free-throw rate . . .". It will no longer be the same rate!!