Raymond B. answered 07/24/25
Math, microeconomics or criminal justice
snow, then 32% chance jets win
no snow, then 41% chance jets win
29% chance it snows
what are odds jets win??
Pr(win) = weighted average = .29(.32)+(1-.29)((41) = .3839 = 38.39% chance Jets win
Pr(snows & jets win)=?? .29(.32) = .0928 = 9.28% chance it snows & jets win
Pr(snows/jets win)=?? use Bayes Theorem P(a)P(b/a) = P(b)P(a/b) with a=jets win, b=snows
P(b/a) = Pr(snows/jets win)=
P(b/a) = P(b)P(a/b)/P(a) = .29(.32)/.3839 = 0.2417296171... = about 24.17%