David W. answered 05/16/17
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The area of a circle:
Ac = πr2
Area of inscribed octagon:
AO = 2r2√2
Probability: Area of octagon / area of circle
P = (2√2)r2 / (πr2)
P = 2√2 / π
P = 0.900 (rounded)
Note that the probability (that is, ratio of the areas) is not dependent on the radius r.
Note: Area of "kite" (one-fourth of octagon) is dw/2 = (r)(r√2)/2.
There are four "kites" in an octagon, so AO = 4*(r)(r√2)/2 = 2r2√2